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Mitch and I are doing a little hobby consulting with Allen Searls, Doc’s son. Are we surprised that this Searls is also smart? Doc says Allen is a lot smarter than he is. Well, doh. He’s smart enough to be in his 20s. What’s hobby consulting? It’s when you have a little experience and a lot of mileage, and you help out someone with energy, promise and a good mind. Unlike regular consulting you don’t get paid and you don’t tell your client what he wants to hear but rather what he needs to hear. (Actually, I now tell clients what they need to hear, which is why I don’t have as many clients as I used to, but they stay in business longer.) Allen has developed a live expert solution called GlobeAlive, the World Live Web. The participants on the site use a built-in chat tool to augment email as a way to connect to an expert immediately, which is the gold standard of using expertise. Mitch and I are helping Allen develop the site along conventional lines and also preparing it to act as an Xpertweb infomediary for the benefit of Allen’s participants. Here’s Allen describing his unique value proposition:
It’s amazing that Allen “got” this Identity and Presence thing so long ago, and developed his own chat engine, within GlobeAlive, to connect his participants. Compare the GlobeAlive service to my conception of ideal support and expertise: The Problem with Silicon-based SolutionsThere’s not too little software, there’s too much. All the enthusiastic do-it-yourselfers who want to learn and explore new applications and scripting languages and preference panels have already done so. How many apps can one person master? I’m a maven with about a dozen software apps and conversant with another couple of dozen, but I feel incredibly incompetent when confronted with a software issue. In the 1970’s, every new piece of software was new and compelling. Perhaps because there were so few of them. It’s like wiring your stereo. It starts as a receiver and 2 speakers and morphs slowly into a component system – you’re able to grow your dendrites at the same rate as the system. But software got away from us a long time ago. So I’m as put off by new software as I am by late model car engines. The investment of time and energy in a new app seems like just too much hassle. You know what I want? I want Commander Data. I want him in my coat closet, using no resources until I have a question and then he activates, solves my problem and goes back into stasis (he might be expletive-activated and then expletive-deleted). Because he’s Commander Data, he does everything almost immediately, so I’m willing to pay him a lot per minute. I’ll bet that’s what you want too: an expert on the software you’ve got, not more software for you to be inept with. Carbon-based SolutionsMy Commander Data exists, but he’s in the form of dozens of skill sets, each possessed by thousands of people whom I could IM or web to, if I knew how to connect with them. For every problem I’ve got, there are lots of folks who are as good as Commander Data for that specific problem and who would be happy to help me out, especially if paid, say, $1 per minute. Sometimes you find them at help desks, but rarely, and the irritation threshold is just too high there. I need an index of “amateur” experts with proven track records who are available immediately for high per-minute rates which I only pay when I’m satisfied, which means they have to be confident that I’ll be reasonably satisfied. So we also need a reputation engine in addition to an expert index. They need to be “amateurs” for the same reason that the best bloggers are amateurs. With a decent market for instant expertise, more than software support becomes available. I’ll find wizards at Excel who can whip up an analysis by noon that would take me ’til Memorial Day. So why would I buy Excel? There will be online bookkeepers who’ll make my copy of QuickBooks irrelevant. Etc. and so on. Customers for expertise are not customers for software. If you’re in the software business, this is a nasty vision, but what other outcome is more likely? We know we’ll figure out how to link up consumers with experts who know how to do the things that software publishers wish everyone would like to learn. If this vision is correct, the software industry will find itself at a crossroads as dicey as the one faced by the RIAA. How many experts are needed to do the specialized tasks of, say, a thousand people? Way less than a thousand. Do companies want their people struggling with Excel analyses when they can outsource the expertise for a fraction of the allocable resource costs? Your guess is better than mine, but from here it feels more like the Dreamweaver market than the MS Of Maybe the answer is Xpertweb. When all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail. From here anyway. |
Author: brittblaser
Spin Country
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Why has the rise of the Web coincided so precisely with a decline in organizational candor? Obviously I don’t blame the web, but I wonder at the coincidence. By organizational candor, I’m thinking of the alignment of what is said by corporations and religions and companies, compared to their actions. Whether it’s a company, a government or a religion, it seems that a marketing mentality has co-opted the organizational agenda. This disconnect is what the Cluetrain guys were describing:
Have you heard the old saw that a man’s blood supply is insufficient to support his brain and penis simultaneously? Likewise, perhaps, there’s just not enough energy in an organization to talk the talk and walk the walk. Our Future EconomyNot the economy of the future, but an economy obsessed with future outcomes. That is to say, outcomes which have not yet occurred. That is to say, outcomes which are not in place, as in nonexistent. We think it’s great to be forward-looking, working on emerging technologies and inventing the future. But organizations seem to spend so much effort describing their impending triumphs that they just can’t match their projected image or meet the inflated expectations that they so casually broadcast. Perhaps it is the Internet’s fault. Perhaps it’s always been like this and the Internet has exposed a traditional disconnect which was not obvious before. However, there’s another suspect. Some time in the 1990’s, the quintessential corporate obsession became stock price rather than intrinsic company value. And stock price is all about unexpected good news which the SEC calls “Forward-looking statements”. These statements have even perverted formerly reliable statements like “the company will“:
Aha! Now we’re on to something. Corporations must maximize their stock market valuation so employees who do the things that raise the stock price are valued above all others. Now let’s consider what really drives stock prices. Do we think it’s by doing the right things that build a solid company and better social values? No, that’s just the spin. The market discounts all the information it already has, whether it’s product news or war news, as Mitch Ratcliffe observed on April 9th in Wreakonomic Reality:
Profits. Those often ugly realities which, we know, companies will attempt to counter with marketing to the stock market, spinning the analysts, pre-announcing products not ready for prime time and all the other insubstantial maneuvers meant to divert the world from that pesky challenge called profits. The Hard Work of Holding a JobThe obsession with brightly painted futures is not confined to the executive suite, it permeates organizations. The brightest, most ambitious employees can’t afford to work for a living. They need to hold jobs for a living. Sure, they’d like to work for a living, but they need to do what best secures their families’ futures: their careers. And what builds careers? Expectations build careers. Track records don’t build careers, mentoring doesn’t build careers, innovation doesn’t build careers. What builds careers is the constant expectation that you will make things dramatically better, with the emphasis on the dramatic part. And that’s the problem. Practical, workmanlike solutions are not dramatic enough for a spin-based economy. No, if you want a meteoric career, you’d better come up with whopper ideas, transformative re-structurings, mega deals and impossibly complex global initiatives that are never proposed by the conventional, unimaginative people whose horizons are limited by the realities of operations and the fact that there’s no such thing as a resourceless task. What if things don’t work as planned? It really won’t matter to your career, because you’ll have moved on to your next grand vision. The disconnect between the grand plan and the sad reality won’t be apparent until you’ve applied your magic to an even bigger opportunity in some other division or subsidiary or, more likely, moved up to corporate where your positive attitude and strong convictions give hope to an even higher level of credulous cheerleaders. Nope, none of has met a bubble we didn’t love, in a company or in the market. For those with the best backgrounds, prospects and handshakes, bold initiatives are the path to corporate stardom, with a remarkable strain of company amnesia about what happens to the grand plans 3 years later, when the shooting star of your career is riddling another operational illusion. What Doesn’t WorkThere’s a lot of ritual in business. We do things because it’s unthinkable to not do them, even if there’s no evidence that they make much difference. Consider Marketing and sales. When we consider the billions of dollars spent on advertising, we glimpse a naked emperor. Maybe there’s some huge cohort of the population that we’ve never met that is highly impacted by ads, but I haven’t met anyone whose buying decisions are actually impacted by most advertising. If my premise is correct, it’s because there are three kinds of purchases, habitual, important and trivial.
I know, there are far smarter people than I who have proved time again that advertising is effective and crucial. I’m just reflecting my experience and that of people I know. Do you suppose those studies were done by people with a vested interest? Maybe they’re just more spin, since a lot of careers are counting on advertising. Don’t pay attention to the detail that the only ads with measurable effectiveness, Web and email ads, are so ineffective as to be laughable. The other thing that doesn’t work as advertised is selling. Don’t take my word for it, ask Jerry Vass, author of Soft Selling in a Hard World. Jerry is paid a lot of money to teach highly paid account execs to string together the right words to close sales. He will tell you that only 52% of sales are the result of selling. The remaining 48% involve salespeople, but may be subject to the same three limiting factors as advertising. Here’s Jerry’s assessment of most experienced salespeople:
So if marketing doesn’t work and selling doesn’t work, how do we explain all the business that gets done? We are, after all, running a robust economy here, even when times are slow. Maybe it’s because we’re all in the habit of buying stuff from each other, and we make our peace with whatever level of quality our research leaves us with. Maybe competitors spend about the same amount on marketing and sales and so it looks like it’s as necessary as sponsoring a tennis star or golf tournament. But I think it’s because top executives like to hobnob with celebrities. What we do know is that if a company quotes a study, we assume it’s been rigged in ways we can’t analyze. If the government says a new law is good for us, we assume it’s beneficiaries have prepaid its sponsors. If the Catholic Church or the Air Force Academy says that sexual abuse is rare, you know that a lot of innocents are being taken advantage of. Spin gives you motion sickness and our society is looking a little green around the gills. |
PRoogling For Dollars
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Speaking of the Spin Problem (below), If Google labels a press release as news, will there be any difference between spin and news? Here’s a little design exercise that shows what a long lever arm Google has become. We start with how bad its current policy is, and imagine how it might help make journalism honest again. Dan Gillmor, Dave Winer, The Register and many others have objected to Google’s treatment of press releases as the same as news. Google’s well-received Beta News service lists a press release as a peer to a news articles if both are returned by the same search argument. This is A Bad Thing, especially since it’s so hard to tell the difference anyway. But could Google turn the tables and increase its stature with a simple algorithm? What we know:
Presto! Google becomes part of the solution and exposes how little of “news” is newsworthy. |
The Doc is In
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Doc points to my Spin Country entry but pushes back a little, noting that corporate propaganda may be less now than it once was, scrutinized as it is by fact checking bloggers:
I agree. Also, as I put this and me to bed in the early morning hours, I felt the post was a little cynical:
I went over the top there, since most people in organizations do the right thing and work hard at doing it better. But the grain of truth is that they work for top-level managers who are forced to generate impossibly optimistic intimations of breakout possibilities, in an arms race against competitive optimism to try to get a little respect from jaded analysts (at least the analysts they don’t have in their pocket). I don’t see a conspiracy here, just the unfortunate maneuvers of people who do sorry things because they feel they need to. The Fix is InWhat’s shocking is the pervasiveness of cynical, amnesia-based representations by companies, governments and religious folk. Amnesia-based in the sense that it relies on the public’s tendency to be so busy with their real lives to track and check facts, but rather to respond to the tone of the representations it sees and hears, rather than the underlying, fairly obvious realities. Our memory seems about 3 months long and shrinking. It’s as if managers, politicians and evangelists believe their own PR and then, like a kid caught in a fib, feel forced to extend and embellish misleading statements to make them big enough to be believed. No Way OutThe most obvious example of this disconnect is practiced by Karl Rove’s White House, Praising soldiers while cutting veteran’s benefits, cheerleading education while cutting school budgets, Deriding Big Gummint while designing the biggest deficit in history. Our Attorney General, the Cop of Our Land, is on the record advising his people to overtly violate the Freedom of Information Act. Who’s going to prosecute them? It’s like a police cruiser parked on the sidewalk in front of Krispy Kreme. It’s disgusting when corporate chieftains and evangelists violate our trust, but we can sell stocks and boycott products and worship elsewhere, precious freedoms all. But notice a cynical disconnect in the integrity of the leaders of the land, and you’re told to Love it or Leave it. Bad news fellas, thinking people are here for the long haul, and our collective memories are long enough to notice lies and resurrect the truth. |
A Thousand Points of View
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You may have heard about the LA Times’ discovery that one of its war photographers had photoshopped a couple of images together “to improve the composition.” The Times summarily fired him and several bloggers have been wondering how much of the rest of what we see is fake. (Login name and password = “useless”) Tim Bray writes,
It looks like Tim is describing the proliferation of ubiquitous PFRs–Personal Flight Recorders, unobtrusively streaming our captured video to our private repository and sharing them at will:
On the same theme, Ming blogged yesterday about a Salon article by Sheldon Pacotti. Pacotti is properly concerned about the surveillence society enabled by Constitution-bashers like the little bible thumper Ashcroft, enabling an industry of people whose job is to watch us:
Ming concurs:
Although Flemming goes on to follow Pacotti’s concerns about the spread of “dangerous ideas” like nanotech and nukes and gasses, but I’m most interested in the vision of a surveillance industry so overwhelmed and outclassed by the collective record that it has no useful product to sell. Sorta like a guy on the street corner peddling an 80/20 nitrogen/oxygen mix. Peer Brother is Watching You (from 2/15/03)
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Abundant Evidence
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From Europe a week ago, Flemming wrote on the subject of “Original Affluence.” Quoting Marshall Sahlins, who, in The Original Affluent Society, described what Ming calls “gift economies and how pre-historic economic systems weren’t as miserable as they’re commonly believed to be“. In addition to the current assumption that wants are always greater than the means to satisfy them, Sahlins says:
Flemming goes on to say,
Call Me IshmaelThis was well depicted in Daniel Quinn’s Ishmael which described the life of a Mountain Gorilla as a little like living in a candy store, where the gorilla would absent-mindedly stretch out his hand and it would rest on some delicious green shoot. Quinn suggests that the Garden of Eden is a primordial species memory of how life was before the few locked up the food to sell it to the many and called it the miracle of agriculture. So pervasive is our presumption of primordial want and brutality compared to modern wealth and satisfaction that we can’t recognize what is obvious. In a hunter-gatherer society, whether foxes or gazelles or people, the resources are in perfect balance with the populations. Unless the ecosystem is undergoing one of its rare rapid changes, the population fluctuates a little around its ability to find food. Like a thermostat, a little excess leads to a little adjustment, which may not even be noticed. These are animals and people who have lived their lives bundled up in winter and sweating in summer with a stomach rarely as full as ours is three times a day. So they do not expect, or want, anything else. Every one of them kills a lot of creatures during a lifetime, but is only killed once. Without a highly developed sense of the future or social entitlements. That single death may have little sting. Could we ever hope to regain a hunter-gatherer mentality and affluence model? I’ve often fantasized that Xpertweb might be in some ways a parallel. If your reputation is your marketing and guaranteed satisfaction a way to close more sales, you may find customers guided to you by your excellent ratings in your area of specialization. That would make you more a gatherer than a hunter. Like Amazon, orders would come in at a rate close to what you can handle, because if it’s less, you’ll master other skills better suiting your talent. Or if you get too busy, you’ll tap your skill at finding Xpertweb help to subcontract work to, confident in their proven ability. And you may train others to help you fill the enthusiastic market. Consider Flemming’s conclusion:
A Lever Long Enough to Move the World?Ming’s got Xpertweb on his mind as much as I do, so perhaps he’s glimpsed the same possibilities. He’s clearly noting that most people don’t work for a living, but hold jobs for a living. If we’re less than 10% on task, what happens when we’re 20% on task for each other and spend the rest of our time off the meter? A cornucopia never really dreamt of. Interesting that 20% of a 12 hour day is close to the 3 hours that hunter-gatherers like to put in. Of course that cornucopia won’t deliver us to the Zen state that Flemming and Marshall Sahlins and I admire but have not achieved (well, one of us hasn’t). However, it opens the possibility of release from the expectation of deprivation and want. And there’s nothing more Zen than letting go of fear. Have you noticed that the peace protests and more enlightened seeking happens in affluent areas? Maybe you consider those expressions too new age for your taste, but there are a lot of people working out a new reality so dramatic that it’s been called, collectively, the second superpower. Like the ancient Athenians, the common ground of people seeking a better world is relative affluence, not scraping by. Instead of slaves, we’ll have each other, amplified by elegant electronic levers that Archimedes could never imagine. |
Time for a Recount?
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Mitch responds to the Count the things that count blogalogue that Ross Mayfield and I conducted earlier this week. On Monday, Ross had suggested, in regard to the rating of experts,
On Tuesday, I harped on proprietary data again,
Flemming, still jet-lagged, gave the post a thumbs-up but Mitch urges us to not repeat the errors that have marked so many endeavors: Establishing technical standards that enshrine data, or a way of thinking about it, that becomes dogma. The dogma then dooms the participants to follow the old flawed patterns, perhaps not even realizing what assumptions are baked into their enterprise:
I agree with Mitch, and not just because he is a valued advisor and the expert entrepreneur in the booth of this quiz show. The failure of organizations to understand their data strategies is one of the reasons they’re so frustrating to work with and for. But this design study could easily repeat those kind of mistakes, even if our aims seem more open. So I want to address Mitch’s points in serial fashion to give us a chance to question assumptions behind the current Xpertweb design. Let’s start at the top: “we need to keep clearly in front of us the idea that human relationships is what we are talking about” To which I respond with a firm, “Well, yes and no!” (Never equivocate on important points…;-). Yes. I’m inclined to wax rhapsodic when glimpsing a future with a kinder, gentler economy based on human connections across the globe or around the corner. And I do believe that our current structures devalue the creativity most of us pour into our work and the deep and vital relationships we form with partners we transact with. And I think Xpertweb improves the chances of forming and maintaining those relationships, compared to proprietary hierarchies, which would be the most social benefit of our socialware. No. However, there’s also a pragmatic edge to getting things done, which is why an Object-Oriented, “Open Resource” economy is so attractive, where the obvious expert is easy to find, easy to engage and easy to pay. Just as programmers can plug other people’s code objects into a program, so do we need to plug other people’s expertise into our activities, on-the-fly, and get on with our day. When I use a piece of open source code, admirable for its elegance and price, to do something otherwise impossible or lengthy, it’s just a tool that I use without forming a relationship. As my long-time friend, client and author, Jerry Vass teaches his Fortune 500 clients, “Your company may be impressive, but the buyer doesn’t care if the seller lives or dies, as long as he doesn’t die on the premises.” Mitch has challenged us to strike the right balance between over-determining behavior or making the design so loose that there’s no value. There’s no way to respond without specifics, so please indulge a detailed overview of the Xpertweb approach, including our allowance for flexibility. Maybe you’ll have some ideas about whether it’s too rigid or loose, and how it could be improved. The Xpertweb Bottom LineAll we’re really after is to elicit a rating from each transaction and to make it indelible in the public record. The rating needs to be both quantitative (1-99%) and qualitative (a written comment). We all know that we rarely fill out rating surveys after the fact, so the rating must be required at the moment of payment in th Therefore, at a minimum, we need to provide an invoice form. Ideally, an invoice should summarize the transaction so the buyer can make a rating based on more than memory. That means it’s useful to capture the history of the transaction. We decided to provide some basic transaction forms and a dead-simple data capture system for the transaction details, including the one we care most about, the final rating. Last time, I revealed my horror of proprietary data–that both parties to a transaction need all the data so they are full peers. Flemming agreed and so does Mitch, if we strike the right balance between rigid and useless. That’s what drove the decision to give everyone the same data tools and to require a web server for both parties to each transaction. It was the only choice left standing after all the other choices wouldn’t work. Data that’s not on both web servers is suspect, since one of the parties may have changed or deleted something. Validation is by duplication. When you’re designing a campus, put the sidewalks where the grass wears out. The 5,000 Year-old Flow ChartHow do we know what forms to provide to lead up to the one we actually care about, the evaluation? On March 18, I suggested that we have an ancient model to follow for the Xpertweb transaction flow:
Why Do We Need a Flow Chart?Transactions are asynchronous.
All those things happen in the real world, but the evaluation is maintained privately by each party, and then not explicitly. Xpertweb intends to make evaluations explicit and public. Okay, we think we’re clever enough to design those forms, but we need a data store that’s flexible and searchable. There are few examples of open, pure-XML data stores. There’s a lot of data on web pages, but it’s hard for computers to organize and aggregate web info for us, so they’re not really data. A lot of “real data” are served by web pages, but the data are buried in proprietary data bases that Google and the rest of us can’t get at without permission. A Peer Economy must be a permission-free zone. So, we found ourselves going the eccentric route again. Xpertweb users will store their data on their own web servers, in pure XML format. It won’t require UDDI or SOAP or XML-RPC or anything else exotic to get at user records. You can do it with a browser or a search engine. RSS will provide pointers to help people find what they want. Why is Data So Difficult?There are two ways that data systems lock their users into the kind of rigid structures Mitch is warning us against. The data structure itself may not be malleable or the data language may make it hard to design and integrate new forms to gather inputs (old or new) for the database and display the gathered data. Most companies maintain a little bit of info about a lot of people. Xpertweb users need a lot of data about relatively few people. So instead of using a huge array to store the data, An Xpertweb site will keep three kinds of small datasets:
Within each of those datatypes, the trick is to have just enough structure that the data needs are served, but to avoid freezing that structure. Let’s think about data strategy. Every data design specifies data types (first name, last name, city, zip, etc.) and data forms (rolodex card, product sheet, etc.). The problem with the data tools we’re used to is that, as Mitch suggests, they’re too rigid:
Those factors combine to make it difficult to do what every data structure should: facilitate new types of data and new forms for novel inputs and display of the old and new data types. This design study tries to avoid those traps. The design is as public as possible Because the data forms are HTML, there are thousands of people able to modify them or add new ones. HTML skills are possibly the most common computer specialty, so form design and modification can be learned or hired out reasonably, probably as an Xpertweb-rated specialty. Aha! you say. There may be tens of thousands of HTML-aware people with Front Page or other editors, but only a small fraction of them know how to design the code to equip HTML to save or display data. That’s the sad truth, esteemed Effendi. Where’s the data design tool for the rest of us that will let someone’s niece or nephew build or modify data forms? I saw an article today praising a barebones 300 page book on web data that he used every day, rather than the several thousand other pages on his shelf. We call it XWriter and it will be part of the code we’ll provide to every user. XWriter will let any HTML author add the required data calls (inputs or display), working with any of the six types of HTML input widgets (text box, text area, value list, value popup menu, check box and radio buttons). XWriter 0.8 was built by Hurai Rody and Flemming will write Version 1.0 using techniques he’s used on other projects. So What’s the Point?If we’re doing this right, these are the most likely reasons:
This has been a lot of detail, but it’s the only way to find out if we’re headed down the slippery slope Mitch warns us against. Isn’t the reason there are so many poor data solutions that the owners aren’t willing to dig around in the details? I’ve consulted on data projects and the users are so rarely involved, it’s no wonder they aren’t ideal. Many bloggers and bloggees have experienced detail aversion first hand, and it’s not a pretty sight. Fifteen years ago when I funded and later tried to run the Dynamac Computer project, we would send an extra stick-on keyboard key with each computer. It was red with white letters: DWIM. Do What I Mean. It’s what every database customer wants and it’s what most data designers are forced to guess at. We hope that we’re looking at enough details to avoid the DWIM trap, and we hope you will too. Thanks. |
The Mitch is Back
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Mitch generally agreed with yesterday’s blow-by-blow dissection of Xpertweb’s measures to avoid hardening of the data arteries. But he adds four important points on the specific biases that are usually embedded in enterprise data design. These are the biases to avoid by providing for gradual system evolution.
Which is why Xpertweb v 1.0 will be able to read your email (or a dedicated email account). It’s not certain though whether the messages will be organized in a way that a script can make sense of it. Certainly they will if they’re script generated, but you never know about those pesky humans. I’ve always felt that modality bias is the greatest challenge in networked human interaction. Modality is the mode of interface dictated by the software’s User Interface and data categories. Most of us are comfortable with email, as Mitch points out, though we forget how recently we’ve adopted that mode. When you force people into a new modality, you’d better have some damn good reasons, which is not always the case. But the web’s theme the past few years has been about unstructured content becoming structured. Web pages like this are unstructured. Even if the content is worth something (unlikely as that may be), it’s hard to find and aggregate the nuggets to establish meaning, because HTML is a presentation tool, not a data-tagging tool. That’s what led to the formulation of XML and XHTML, which requires authors to tag their content by categories. XML adoption has been slow, except by enterprises using it to encode data between two otherwise uncooperative data bases. It’s a pain to tag your data, which is Mitch’s point. Just as so many mastered the email modality in the early 90’s, so have we mastered online purchasing in the later 90’s. It seems to me we’ve become as comfortable with forms used to buy things on line as we have with the familiar three-paned email interface. So, if the Xpertweb forms can look a lot like other online experiences, we’ve got a shot at providing a friendly user modality.
Bingo! Labeling is a huge problem, since programmers can’t get the lingo and categories right without enthusiastic collaboration with the people who will use the system. Such collaboration is rare because users have no interest in pitching in on the design until the piece of dreck is switched on. I can think of only three ways to reduce the semantic bias problem:
Here’s evidence of the steep gradient between the early adopters and the rest of us. The early adopters see the value of the new tools and are adept at responding to new modalities, unlike you and me. Too bad they’re never around when you need some guidance. Fortunately, time spent is a matter of skill, and skill is usually a matter of time and patience. I learned in the Air Force that there are brilliant pilots and the rest of us, but time in the seat is the great skill leveler–most pilots are average pilots. Motivation is the skills leveler. If you have a strong reason to master something you will. Think of all the grandparents who’ve mastered email to stay in touch. Now they’re even exchanging pictures! Money can also be a strong motivation, and Xpertweb has some explicit rewards built into the system to inspire enthusiastic mastery of the bit of procedurality that can’t be avoided.
All of us are seeing Mitch’s historical bias example. Consider how hard it is on the RIAA. Heh. Historical bias is assured when the data structures, datatypes, data forms and output protocols can’t be evolved to keep up with the people evolving away from the system. But if someone is motivated to fix the problem and the means are easily engaged, then the changes will be done and the curse of legacy avoided. I sense that Mitch has concerns about the predetermined stages of an Xpertweb transaction: Discover, Identify, Negotiate, Commit, Invoice and Evaluate. The reason to have discrete stages is because the purpose is to sensibly organize work, without requiring an organization. The asynchronous imperative of a transaction record requires that the data needs of each stage be met before moving to the next stage.
At the risk of being doctrinaire, we feel the need to provi Data for the rest of us is similarly untried and, by many, still unsought. Our design indeed raises problems. Unlike a central data store, there’s no team to manage and maintain it. It’s not optimized for compactness and speed. It assumes the proper functioning of the Xpertweb scripts on each user’s computer. It assumes that there are enough people who will learn a new (to them) technology and a new way of dealing. A determined techie could find another half a dozen objections. Living With DiversityWe never set out to create a weird data architecture just to be different. We had no choice, since all conventional methods rely on the kind of centralized data hegemony that would eventually pervert our purpose. Xpertweb’s distributed data store is kind of holographic, present on at least four web sites (2 parties to a transaction and their two mentors). The mirroring of identical data on those sites imputes validity. Validation is further promoted by a validation tool built into every installation. This tool verifies the file structure, to make sure it conforms to this model. It also provides a schema to validate the XML structures, and to validate other sites, on a schedule or on request, so your mentor’s site is continually validating your site’s structure and file conformance to your schema. The schema provides for the datatypes that are obvious and any optional datatypes the owner may designate using the XWriter tool. These would most typically be added to describe attributes of a service or product. Another compelling reason for adding new datatypes is to transform your ID.xml file into a full-fledged Digital ID using Liberty Alliance protocols to become your own Identity Provider. The Open Source HavenIn facing these challenges, the Xpertweb model is fortunate to not be a business. If it were a business, we’d be capitalized to hire a crew of programmers and arrange for office space and computers and furniture and all the rest. Development would be done in secret so competition wouldn’t get wind of our gazillion dollar concept. Naturally we’d have a business plan to promise a Return On Investment with a stated marketing budget and rollout and the server farm, etc. Once the code was “done” (always a more-or-less state), we’d have a limited horizon to satisfy the nervous investors, so we’d move heaven and earth to inspire massive adoption by our target demographic. As with most new software, despite the promising number of enthusiastic early adopters, the press and the public would note that it’s interesting and worth looking into some day and would go back to business as usual. Then would start the decade of dimming hope and rising anguish as the shrinking team of stakeholders tries to wring some value out of what has become an old idea that didn’t quite work out. Xpertweb has no burn rate and no central software or servers. It will put its genetic material out there, with the means to further propagate it. Starting with just six users and spreading slowly at first, we expect to wring it out, make a few adjustments and then, as they say, let ‘er rip. NaivetéPerhaps we’re naive to think that ordinary people will choose to, or even can, master these new skills. But it seems less naive than assuming that our current skills and hierarchies will spontaneously inspire higher productivity and individual work satisfaction. |
Sitting In the Counting House
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Ross Mayfield noted my Social Software post and added the important insight that what we’re doing, when web services start counting things previously uncountable, is like the arrival of coins in the days of barter:
Bingo! When things get too complicated, we need new counting tools to simplify through the language of a rating. This design study intends to implement a peer economy because clearly, the big-E Economy has grown too complicated. It’s complicated because complexity suits the purposes of people better able to make the rules and hire analysts and lawyers and accounting firms to follow, and bend, the rules. That’s why the stock market systematically moves funds from the less informed to the better informed. Data is the Basis of Economic ComplexityAs one of my favorite economists, Tom Robbins said,
That’s complexity at work. But just recognizing complexity isn’t enough for our design study. We need to get our hands around the choke point that’s preventing the right things from being counted. I suggest that the check point is who controls the data and thus the character of the data kept. We assume that data is always kept by the seller, but is that so? Consider this:
In the first case, the data keeper is the seller, not the customer. In the second, though, the keeper of the data is the customer, purchasing the employee’s work. So it’s not about the roles of the players, It’s about size and who is the designer of the transaction. Data is the asset of the designer of the business agreement, and a liability to the other party to the agreement, who’s subservient to the keeper’s records. I emphasize designer of the transaction because transactions are designed ad hoc, one-at-a-time, like component parts in machines before Eli Whitney invented standardized parts. Perhaps our economy has become too complicated to let transactions be designed for the sole benefit of whoever thinks it up first and has superior data resources. Proprietary Data is the Basis of TyrannyPerhaps we need a systems approach, where we conceive a model transaction, one that serves both parties equally, and removes the data dominance factor. Of course, that’s the purpose of our little design study. We think we’ve come up with the 6 essential states in every transaction (Discover, Identify, Specify, Negotiate, Invoice, Evaluate); and we think we’ve identified the Atomic Elements of transactions (People, Products & Tasks). If we’re right, and our standard transaction model simplifies selling and buying, then it might lead to more and better buying and selling. In any event, we’ll be counting some things that haven’t counted before. Like Quality ratings. You can count on it. |
Social Ism
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I’m reminded again that everyone discovers DNA at the same time. The social software meme seems to be everywhere. By software, I think everyone means web applications. Yesterday, citing an earlier Ross Mayfield post, I suggested:
And Ross Mayfield said:
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After a thousand Brooklyn Bridges, hundreds of thousands wow goldof pet rocks and millions of Creed albums later, ol’ P.T. may have been on to something. But Tuesday night, wow goldthe fans — the consumers — got it right and got their money’s worth.